A very slow moving trough lies through central Queensland and is not expected to clear the coast until sometime on Sunday. Ahead of the trough there is extensive although patchy rain (possibly as much as 60mm). This rain is expected to clear late on Saturday/early on Sunday as the trough passes.
It appears that the main rain band is passing to the west and south of the eastern Downs, with only 6mm having fallen on Dalby since 9am yesterday.
Thunderstorms are extremely unlikely as the CAPE is forecast at only 300J/kg and the SLI falls only to 0C.
Whilst there was no rain on the Downs last week, 35mm has fallen at Dalby since the rain commenced on Wednesday.More rain will fall today, but the rain band appears to be moving further south and so only one or two mm is expected today and possibly the same tomorrow.
Saturday 26 November 2011
Dalby 25C
Stability C
Convection Dry convection to 5,500ft with cloud base 5,000ft
Wind NW @ 5kts
Sunday 27 November 2011
Dalby 31C
Stability A
Convection Blue convection to 8,500ft
Wind SW @ 5-10kts
Whilst Sunday looks flyable, I would expect there to be some water in paddocks across the Downs, particularly further west. This may suppress convection and make some paddocks unusable for out landings.
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