Weather for the weekend of 1 - 2 October 2011

Please note there will be NO update on Friday 30 September as I am flying at the State competition in Warwick.

A trough is bringing extensive rain to central/northern NSW with lower falls in southern Queensland. This will clear the coast on Thursday night, bringing a southerly flow to SE Qld for Friday and the weekend.

Whilst the trough is bringing widespread rain to south eastern Queensland, falls are only expected to be 10mm or less across the Downs, but with higher falls to the south. This amount of rain is unlikely to suppress convection or cause out landing issues except in low lying areas.

Saturday 1 October 2011
Dalby             25C
Convection     Dry convection to 16,500ft with cloud base 10,000
Stability          A
Wind              NW @ 10kts

There is a real potential for over development, but despite this, the day has significant promise. Once the temperature passes 20C, convection height will increase rapidly from 3,000ft and convection should continue through 4pm local beneath the clouds.



Sunday 2 October 2011

Dalby             22C

Convection     Dry convection to 8,500ft with cloud base 8,000

Stability          A
Wind              SW @ 10kts

Again, there is potential for over development, but this is unlikely to be a major problem as the clouds are quite thin.